Some Trends in Criminal Policy of Counteraction against Organized Crime

This article offers the author's outlook on one of the ways of enhancing efficiency of counteraction against organized crimes. Based on the analysis of trends, changes and additions made to the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation which aim at countering criminal structures, it is concluded that there was a need to ensure a stable legal and criminal prohibitions in this area and inappropriateness of the further scale increase in the number of articles of the Special part of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation containing a qualifying or particularly defining feature "committed by an organized group”. With a view to formulating anti-crime activities, it is suggested that an approach based on continuous monitoring of both the crime situation and trends in the penal policy be employed, together with the building up respective criminological models applying both quantitative and qualitative indicators The value of the formation of the science-based predictions for the negative social legal phenomenon in question, which should be the basis for the planned activities, is considered individually. It is noted that not all methods of analysis of time series and statistical tables provide the necessary accuracy of the generated prediction It is demonstrated that the relationship between changes in criminal law and quantitative dynamics of indicators characterizing counteraction against organized groups and criminal societies is of a complex and implicit nature. Some approaches to the formation of the analyzed statistical aggregates are proposed to be employed based on theoretical laws of probability density distribution that enables the correct use of the mathematical apparatus of the theory of stochastic processes. The conclusion about the necessity of quantifying the reliability of criminological generated models is made Suggestions on the formation of the "road map" of activities aimed at ensuring the priority preventive measures in this area are provided.

criminal legal policy, organized crime, latency, the transnational nature, statistics, monitoring, forecast trends, modeling, reliability, road map, strategy, efficiency of counteraction

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